The tools and practice of valuation is intimidating to most laymen, who assume that they do not have the skills and the capability to value companies. Harris: What are the most important innovations in valuation methodology during your career? Aswath Damodaran. He knows that for Amazon to be a successful company, he has to build a good management team. Proposition 1: For an asset to have value, the expected cash flows have to be positive some time over the life of the asset. I have a background in financial/legal research at @SumZero, @StanfordLaw, and an NY-based family office. And crypto, sometimes. But again, that’s a feature and not a bug. And it’s very difficult to do an intrinsic valuation of a portfolio of companies. I think increasingly that the ridesharing companies think that the future lies in each of them carving out markets for themselves where they don’t face competition. Each cluster, be it the VCs and employees of a company think that they have the answers to the big questions. This is the culmination of what started in the 1970s, when Vanguard started its first index fund. His YouTube videos on subjects such as “Equity Risk Premiums”, enjoy 165,000+ subscribers. “You need to go back to the first principles of valuation. As lifecycles shorten our valuation approaches have to adapt to those. Harris: Any cryptocurrency valuation insights to add to your October ‘Musings’ post? Valuation isn’t about methodology, it’s about adapting your valuation techniques to real world challenges. +TimesPrime subscription included worth ₹999*, Sharp Insight-rich, Indepth stories across 20+ sectors, Access the exclusive Economic Times stories, Editorial and Expert opinion, Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip Fund Direct-Growth. It’s going to be very difficult for Uber to make money. Harris: In your ‘Going to Pieces: Valuing Users, Subscribers and Customers’ article, you covered valuing user and subscriber based companies. Damodaran: I think that if you look at young tech companies, you’re going to find the biggest divergence. The part of the story that is very much still up for grabs is whether Uber can make money as a car service business. As long as economic growth is solid, I’m okay with the market. It’s the inherently unpredictable nature of business valuation that appeals to Damodaran. It might surprise people, I spend very little time reading investment books. Aswath Damodaran is a Professor of Finance at the Stern School of Business at New York University, where he teaches corporate finance and equity valuation. So are they collectively overvalued? See all articles by Aswath Damodaran Aswath Damodaran. Damodaran: There’s an advantage to realizing that there are two processes at work. Damodaran: The shift has been a long time coming. We will back out cash and investments in marketable securities from … So what you think about Tesla is very much a function of what you think about Elon Musk. 1,749. Harris: What is your view on the pricing impact of monopolistic investing by Softbank into competing rideshare companies? Uber, Lyft, and Grab fares will start to go up, and you can thank Softbank for that. Knowing that, think about how much money we spend counting and carrying goodwill. Harris: Bill Gurley criticized you in 2014 for a ‘faster horses’ mentality regarding your analysis of Uber. How I describe Amazon is with patience built into its DNA. It’s true, that passive investing doesn’t provide oversight for the price of companies. Aswath Damodaran 17 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation What is it: In discounted cash flow valuation, the value of an asset is the present value of the expected cash flows on the asset. And third, we live in a world where companies’ life cycles have shortened. So I’ll give active investors their choice of alpha. We see all kinds of game playing depending on the selective picking of whichever alpha measure makes them look good. I teach classes in corporate finance and valuation, primarily to MBAs, … If the pricing process is strong enough, you can be right and go bankrupt being right on the company’s value, because the pricing process can keep pushing the price away from the value for extended periods. In a sense, Berkshire is a Warren Buffett company, but it isn’t entirely Buffett, it’s Munger, and it’s Jain, and this demonstrates that the key is having a strong team. They’re the ones in the background impacting how this business is evolving. In Corporate Finance with Professor Aswath Damodaran, ... Over the course of 15 weeks, students will learn about risk, valuation, betas, dividends, and more, along with their real-world applications. I think when people get angry and frustrated and become righteous about the way they think about investing is when you get into trouble. And you price it based on how good it is as a currency. Then the question is what do you do with that valuation. Active investors like to tell how many bad things come out of passive investing, and there are arguments you can make about how terrible passive investing is, but the reality is that active investing needs to get its act together, and collectively starts thinking about what it brings to the table that is differentiated. There is no short cut... Damodaran's Investment Valuation explains the … It’s a pricing issue. It’s got very little to do with fundamentals, and everything to do with “is there somebody else out there who will pay me a higher price for this company”. But let’s face it, active investors are not doing much oversight anyway. Damodaran: It makes work for accountants. I keep my eyes on economic growth. I think that it’s okay to be a founder driven company if you build in strong management. Collectively, young tech companies and startups will be overvalued, but there’s no easy way for you to make money on that. Discounted Cash Flow Valuation! Aswath Damodaran I am a Professor of Finance at the Stern School of Business at NYU. I think we spend too much time reading what other people think and do in investing. Is it still? He has written several books on equity valuation, as well on corporate finance and … Damodaran: No matter how you define it, active investors lose out, so the definition doesn’t really matter to me. So what do I think about goodwill impairments? A standard critique of valuation models, in general, and discounted cash flow models in particular is that they fail to fully account for the many intangible assets possessed by firms. What is your opinion of the overall valuation of US equities, especially through the lens of your work on the equity risk premium? For reprint rights: Stop treating everything marquee investors say as the gospel truth: Aswath Damodaran, Most active funds will get wiped out by ETFs & index funds: Aswath Damodaran, Don’t pay heed to commodity prophecies, they’re always wrong: Aswath Damodaran, I take everybody including Warren Buffett, Ray Dalio with a grain of salt: Aswath Damodaran, Be incremental and multibaggers will follow: Aswath Damodaran, NYU Stern School of Business, Mean reversion talk is asking markets to do the impossible: Aswath Damodaran, NYU Stern School of Business. Most of the time when I extract the answer, the answer is that they’ve really priced the company. The conundrum investors face is in valuing that company is that if the company has been priced, you can come up with a value very different from the price. As always, they have created buzz in the financial press, with the big news story being the displacement of Coca Cola from its perennial number one spot and the rise of technology companies (Apple and Google have the first two spots and there are four other tech companies in the top ten) in the rankings. We’ve had to learn to be much more careful about risk premiums, currencies, and how we use them in valuations. I’ve read the classics, and I think that Random Walk Down Wall Street is a great book, I think that Security Analysis is a great book (if you can make it all the way through), but I think that what you’re looking for is a philosophy rather than a technique. As long as there’s growth backing up those buybacks, we’re going to be okay. Yahoo went from being a startup to an incredibly successful company to no company at all in a period of 25 years. In a sense, this reflects the strengths and weaknesses of Elon Musk. So I think that there’s a lot about the ridesharing business that we’re going to find out about in the next year or two. Any time you use a multiple comparable you’re not valuing the company, you’re pricing a company. Let's reshape it today, Hunt for the brightest engineers in India. Aswath Damodaran is a professor of finance and David Margolis teaching fellow at the Stern School of Business at New York University. The Professor of Finance at Stern School of Business at New York University (NYU) says value investors have got stuck in the 20th century. Harris: Tesla’s core automobile production business almost seems secondary to the company’s other focuses on battery, solar, trucks, and autonomous cars. Netflix users, are clearly much more valuable as a commodity. Collectively, the alpha for active investing, however you define the alpha, is negative. Damodaran: Well it’s massively impacted prices. -- Michael J. Mauboussin, Chief Investment Strategist, Legg Mason Capital Management an… Most people don’t do that. Aswath Damodaran 182 The Value of Growth n In any valuation model, it is possible to extract the portion of the value that can be attributed to growth, and to break this down further into that portion attributable to “high growth” and the portion attributable to “stable growth”. Damodaran: When Apple was at the peak of its glory in 2012, I chose to sell. Aswath Damodaran has taught tens of thousands of students at New York University’s Stern School of Business how to value stocks since 1986. Harris: What made you describe Amazon as a ‘pet obsession’ in the past? Very Interesting aspect of such Life Cycle of Firms or the Persons running the SHOW and hope AGE would be just Numbers at all times, Inciting hatred against a certain community, 15 Harris: When has a company’s price most escaped your ‘valuation’? Professor Aswath Damodaran is currently a Professor of Finance at NYU's Stern School of Business. The reason I wrote that paper is to illustrate that users can be valuable, but users can be useless. Tomorrow is different. I don’t begrudge them, because they need the work. Damodaran: I’m going to say something that is going to sound strange. Damodaran: Pricing. Date Written: April 7, 2007. New York University - Stern School of Business. Over decades he has created and helped shaped the field of valuation. Aswath Damodaran is a Professor of Finance at the Stern School of Business at New York University, where he teaches corporate finance and equity valuation. I teach corporate finance, valuation and investment philosophies at the Stern School of Business at New York University. Nobody cares. We also know, collectively, there is no consistency in alpha. It’s not their job. Philosophical Basis: Every asset has an intrinsic value that can be estimated, based … And this is 5 years later. It was actually very difficult valuation to do because I was so biased towards Apple. Moviepass users are useless - there are a lot of them, but I don’t think the marginal Moviepass user adds any value. Most investment professionals don’t do valuation, they do pricing. Damodaran: Almost none. So what? Harris: The definition of alpha seems to be ever changing with the addition of new risk factors, and new models (fundamental and accounting beta). Kevin Harris from SumZero sat down with Damodaran to discuss valuation, corporate finance, and his advice for investment professionals. Damodaran: It’s because I’ve never seen a company as focused on a story and stay with that story through good times and bad times. Fair value accounting in general has given accounting a new business. Until active investing comes up with a good rationale for why we should be paying people to manage our money and lose 1% relative to an index, all their arguments about how terrible passive investing is for stock prices goes out the window. PAPERS. We have to think globally, which is one shift, You have to think about not just the risk premiums from the market you’re in, but also the risk premiums of the rest of the world. Damodaran: I valued a Brazilian iron mining company in 2013, found it to be undervalued, and bought its stock. I tell people that the person you have to understand best to be a good investor is yourself. © 2020 Forbes Media LLC. How should one approach goodwill when valuing a company? Why follow tips? Working capital is usually defined to be the difference between current assets and current liabilities. We’ve got it backwards, if we want to make Bitcoin a currency, we need to be working harder at making it a currency. We need to own our own investment philosophies. Softbank incentivizes that by being invested in all of these companies. Google is a much bigger young company compared to the old IBM. But from an investor perspective, it’s completely useless. Days Trial, TimesPrime subscription included worth ₹999*, Accident insurance - Choose the right level of cover. Honestly, if I knew which sectors were massively undervalued, I’d be investing in those sectors. Harris:  What is the biggest price to value dislocation that you see in the market today? In our past trainings with him all our participants were enthusiastic with the motivating and dynamic method of delivery as well as the personal interaction. So the biggest mistake in valuation is mistaking pricing for valuation. And this is 10 years after. Active investors like to talk about how much collective value they bring to the table, but if you ask where is that value added coming from, they stutter and stammer, because they can’t think of good reasons. And right now we’re not. Working capital in valuation. I’d much rather take a statement of cash flows over one of these fair value balance sheets. So you can’t value BTC, so you price it. Professor Aswath Damodaran is currently a Professor of Finance at NYU's Stern School of Business. All Rights Reserved, This is a BETA experience. Sector valuation is a very dangerous game, because you’re investing in a portfolio of companies. Very few companies have done that, and I’ve never seen a company do it in the way that Amazon has. How many stores today accept BTC? "Aswath Damodaran's work is always worth reading... For investors and students of the financial markets who want to embark on serious fundamental analysis, it is critical to understand how to go about valuing stocks and other instruments. It will be very interesting to see how Uber and Lyft, and Didi, and Grab, navigate and change the business in the coming years. Ultimately, I think Tesla is an automobile company that has got technology in good ways and bad ways. This is a technology bubble, so I’m not going to wag fingers and tell people not to invest in it. Choose your reason below and click on the Report button. EY & Citi On The Importance Of Resilience And Innovation, Impact 50: Investors Seeking Profit — And Pushing For Change, Michigan Economic Development Corporation BrandVoice. There will be a correction, some people will lose their money. It’s the nature of young companies and young markets, that you will overvalue them, because you’re looking at clusters of what I call overoptimism. He teaches the corporate finance and equity valuation courses in the MBA program. However, we will modify that definition when we measure working capital for valuation purposes. The lesson from the valuation, was that for iron ore mining companies, it takes about 2 or 3 years for shifting iron ore prices to shorten earnings. Harris:  What books or investors have most impacted your investment and valuation philosophies? He is best known as author of several widely used academic and practitioner texts on Valuation , Corporate Finance , and Investment Management . How often do you see Bezos tweeting about an Amazon problem? Over decades he has created and helped shaped the field of valuation. What is it: In discounted cash flow valuation, the value of an asset is the present value of the expected cash flows on the asset.! Tesla is not a company, it’s a reflection of Elon Musk. The reason people pay $60 Billion for Uber is because they think that when it goes public it will be worth $100 Billion. It’s your money, and you’re entitled to invest it wherever you want. I. Damodaran: I think that right now, looking at the equity risk premium, I can justify prices. Damodaran has been voted 'Professor of the Year' by Stern's graduating MBA class five times, and has been awarded NYU's Excellence in Teaching and Distinguished Teaching awards. Whichever measurement you use. New York University - Stern School of Business. Yes. Harris: In ‘The Dark Side of Valuation’, you covered the risk of massively overvaluing young companies in young industries. Remember, Elon Musk has other fish in the fire, he has his spaceship business, his boring business, and so you have to keep your eye on the ball. He keeps wandering off into these alleyways, and you follow him…. Harris: What is the most contrarian valuation that you’ve published in your career? Try buying lunch with BTC. You can bet that I do." I believe that this is the way that you build a story stock. Copyright © 2020 Bennett, Coleman & Co. Ltd. All rights reserved. The second is, we’ve lived through a decade of low risk premiums. We know this. You may opt-out by. It’s proving very difficult in the rideshare business to defend your business. We need to think through what we think about markets. Do you think that companies caught in the tech bubble have systematically been overvalued? As long as momentum is on their side, it’ll keep pushing the pricing up. One of the problems with Tesla is that its story seems to be like nailing jello to a wall. And I’ll wager that most active investors would not take that wager. Damodaran has published several books on equity valuation and corporate finance. There’s nothing wrong with pricing. Aswath Damodaran Professor, Author, Influence Node, Person. It is better to have a company with a more balanced management team. I think accounting balance sheets are the least useful financial statements. It is not existential. And until it becomes a good currency, you cannot justify the $6,000, $10,000, or $15,000 that you pay. Any specific names or sectors? I have to clean them up for whatever has happened to commodity pricing over that period and then come up with numbers that reflect the commodity prices current impact on the company. Download The Economic Times News App to get Daily Market Updates & Live Business News. But as long as we are informed in our decisions, make our own, and are willing to look at the losses, things will be fine. If I were to pick a company where my valuation most went against the grain, it would be Apple in 2012. That’s always been true. Aswath Damodaran 2 Discounted Cashflow Valuation: Basis for Approach n where CF t is the cash flow in period t, and r is the discount rate appropriate given the riskiness of the cash flow and t is the life of the asset. And I think that’s a dangerous thing. I think in my lifetime, I’ve seen the world go from being a domestic company driven world to a multinational world. Days Trial And you price it based on how good it is as a currency. What made that bubble painful is that it happened with financial services, so dragged the rest of the world into it. So I bought at the wrong time, lost some money, and I learnt that when I’m valuing commodity companies I can’t just take the monthly numbers and work with them. All you need in the pricing game is someone else willing to pay a higher price for the company. 3! Also, the size of a company has no relation to its age. Damodaran: It is dangerous, because people are unpredictable. Abstract. And I chose to sell even though I loved the company. ‘Dean of Valuation’ Aswath Damodaran on FAANG Stocks, the Economy, and Companies Worth Buying “Over the long term, I think winners and losers will be seen more in terms of sectors rather than countries,” asserts the NYU business school professor. So I think that you can look at bubbles as a bad thing and try to make them go away, but I think that they’re a good feature of markets and allow us to shift from one business to another, from one technology to another. Pronunciation of Aswath Damodaran with 2 audio pronunciations, 1 meaning, 1 translation, 3 sentences and more for Aswath Damodaran. Known as "the Dean of Valuation" due to his expertise in that subject, Damodaran is best known as author of several widely used academic and practitioner texts on Valuation, Corporate Finance and Investment Management; he is widely quoted on the subject of valuation, with "a great reputation as a teacher and authority". He’s a visionary, he’s a genius, he’s an out of the box thinker, but he has no focus and discipline. Damodaran: Well, it recently seems to have come back full circle to cars. 10,572. Interesting valuation presentation by Aswath Damodaran where he values Tata Group companies using the DCF approach explained in detail Slideshare uses cookies to improve functionality and performance, and to provide you with relevant advertising. Aswath Damodaran had some advice for the audience at the 73rd CFA Institute Annual Virtual Conference: Don’t abandon valuation fundamentals during the COVID-19 crisis. Via Aswath Damodaran The Interbrand rankings of the top brand names in the world are out. But it’s not valuation. Prof. Aswath Damodaran is the Kerschner Family Chair Professor of Finance at the Stern School of Business at New York University. And it’s always been that company. People think that if they search long enough, they can answers to their questions, when what in fact what they need to do is to stop and think about the questions and think through their answers. This will alert our moderators to take action. There are many old companies that break up into smaller businesses and become young again. Aswath Damodaran finds himself is one of the most sought-after experts in valuation. The part of the story that I very obviously got wrong was the size of the market. This is a business with no entry barriers and no moat. As a business, it’s shaken up the way that things are done, but is ultimately still an automobile business. That’s the big question. His work has also been published in The Journal of Finance, The Journal of Financial Economics, and the Review of Financial Studies. Ninety percent of the time, when someone says “I’ve valued a company at X”, I always have to stop and ask them, “What do you mean value the company?”. Harris: Do you have a strong view on the massive rise of goodwill impairments in US corporate finance? Harris: The current long-lived bull market plus two crashes in recent memory seems to have left investors skittish about the future prospects of the market. Your Reason has been Reported to the admin. Professor Aswath Damodaran is a Professor of Finance at NYU's Stern School of Business. 07:02. There doesn’t need to be a fundamental rationale for value. Aswath Damodaran! He received his MBA and PhD from the University of California at Los Angeles. It happens two years after the rest of us know it’s happened. We can dance around it however much we want. What is Valuation Modeling in Excel? In our past trainings with him all our participants were enthusiastic with the motivating and dynamic method of delivery as well as the personal interaction. I mean what kind of questions are equity research analysts asking that actually lead people to uncover new information? Harris: Do you have a strong view on the rise of passive investing vs. active and any dislocations that may be surfacing as a result? Aswath Damodaran, professor of finance at NYU, joins "Squawk Alley" to discuss Apple and Tesla's stock split. How to say Aswath Damodaran in English? He has been called Wall Street's "Dean of Valuation", and is widely respected as one of the foremost experts on corporate valuation. If there are signs of economic growth staggering, or growing much weaker, then we have to start worrying. But the price can then be a number very different than the value. They price companies. Valuation is about digging through a business, understanding the business, understanding its cash flows, growth, and risk, and then trying to attach a number to a business based on its value as a business. Which means I spend a lot more time with the Wall Street Journal and reading the news of today and trying to figure out why companies are doing what they’re doing rather than focusing on what other people think about companies. The difference between Tesla and Amazon, even though they both have strong founders, is that Jeff Bezos is not up front and center. You pick the alpha, and let’s see if you can deliver a positive alpha using your own definition of alpha 5 years in a row. ‎"Aswath Damodaran is simply the best valuation teacher around. What are the biggest valuation mistakes you think that VCs investing in these companies make? In fact, I think that they destroy value, because you’re giving them a service for way below cost. Not so simple Mr Damodaran! Philosophical Basis: Every asset has an intrinsic value that can be estimated, … I’m not sure what kind of a company Tesla is. That’s one big difference. I bought it on the expectation that because iron ore prices had recently fallen, and that the price reflected that, it was going to recover. I teach classes in corporate finance and valuation, primarily to MBAs, … And at that time everyone thought that Apple would keep going up because it had an incredible decade. Right now, the problem is that BTC is a terrible currency. Investment Valuation by Aswath Damodaran, 9781118011522, available at Book Depository with free delivery worldwide. It’s not enough to understand what Warren Buffett does and Peter Lynch does. I think we spend too little time on introspection. I cover value investing. I graduated with an MA from the University of Edinburgh in 2016. ... Corporate Finance: Valuation, Capital Budgeting & Investment Policy eJournal. 15 You’re not buying a piece of all of Elon Musk, you’re buying a piece of Elon Musk’s Tesla story, and that is ultimately an automobile focus. Damodaran on Valuation: Security Analysis for Investment and Corporate Finance: 324: Damodaran, Aswath: Amazon.com.mx: Libros Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. It’s told the same story for 20 years, and it’s delivered on that story very consistently. There’s a value process, and a pricing process. ‎Preview and download books by Aswath Damodaran, including The Little Book of Valuation, Damodaran on Valuation and many more. That’s hugely true, that I underestimated the size of the car services market when I valued Uber. Valuation guru Aswath Damodaran says companies, like human beings, have a life cycle and a firm’s valuation should be able to reflect its position in the lifecycle. What metrics are best to use to value the spread and adoption of disruptive technologies? How did it turn out? NYU's 'Dean of Valuation' Aswath Damodaran on Apple and Tesla surge. Kevin Harris, SumZero: What is the most egregious valuation mistake you most routinely see being made by investment professionals? I think that bubbles are not always bad, because they’re what allow us to change and move on. It’s actually the biggest growth business in accounting. Harris: What are your thoughts on the astronomically high private market valuations achieved by companies like Uber? job as long as it’s been on the face of the earth, and now it’s catching up with them. Most VC’s are still pricing users, with the assumption that all users have value, and that all their data is going to be useful. If you are interested in the theory or practice of valuation, you should have Damodaran on Valuation on your bookshelf. That’s what I think separates founder run companies that survive and become great companies, and founder run companies that crash and burn with their founders. Active investors are not doing their job, so I’m not as cynical of passive investing translating into less information being generated, because there’s very little information being generated in active investing right now. Collectively, the expected returns on stocks, based on the cash flows that we’re seeing right now, is close to 8.3%, which is at a high in terms of what we’ve seen over the last 10 years. Damodaran: The biggest mistake is that VCs don’t value users, they price them. Aswath Damodaran I am a Professor of Finance at the Stern School of Business at NYU. What I mean by that is that if there’s a line of VCs and you go up to a VC and say “I have a million users”, the VC says “Amazing, I’ll pay you $1 Billion”. I think that we have to differentiate between users, and to do that we have to start asking serious questions about what separates good users from bad users, what separates valuable users from useless users. Valuation Guru Aswath Damodaran has made a wakeup call to those who believe in old-style value investing. If you look at the market impact of them, it’s almost zero. I think that we live in a Google Search world. Damodaran, Professor of Finance at NYU’s Stern School of Business, compares a company’s life cycle to the human development stages. You can bet that I do." The big question is whether the big surge in buybacks that we’ve seen is trapped cash being returned or whether it’s going to subside. It’s going to mean that there’s going to be a lot more splitting up of the market, like with Uber and Didi in China, and with Uber and Grab’s agreement in Southeast Asia. Active investing collectively has done a crappy job as long as it’s been on the face of the earth, and now it’s catching up with them. “It is precisely times like these that they matter most,” he said. This is not like the 2008 bubble. Active investors like to talk about how much collective value they bring to the table, but if you ask where is that value added coming from, they stutter and stammer, because they can’t think of good reasons. What did you learn from it? It’s a terrible currency in that you can’t live your life with BTC in your pocket. If you are interested in the theory or practice of valuation, you should have Damodaran on Valuation on your bookshelf. Valuation modeling in Excel may refer to several different types of analysis, including discounted cash flow (DCF) DCF Model Training Free Guide A DCF model is a specific type of financial model used to value a business. Or what other people think about investing. What I mean by that is that you price a number to a stock based on what other people are paying for similar stocks. How do you approach valuing Tesla in 2018? Prof. Aswath Damodaran is the Kerschner Family Chair Professor of Finance at the Stern School of Business at New York University. Active investors like to tell how many bad things come out of passive investing, and there are arguments you can make about how terrible passive investing is, but the reality is that active investing needs to get its act together, and collectively starts thinking about what it brings to the table that is differentiated. As long as it stays solid, the market has a base to go back to. Is there a particular definition that resonates with you for practical use in valuing stocks? You have a story, you tell the same story, you act consistently on that story, and you deliver on that story. Damodaran: It’s a feature not a bug. "Aswath Damodaran is simply the best valuation teacher around. In the case of the 2-stage DDM, this can be accomplished as follows: It’s how markets evolve, and I think that it’s a healthy process. So, Bitcoin is a great speculative investment, but it’s not been a good currency. Why? Damodaran: I have a very simple insight, you cannot value a currency, you can only price it. Kevin Harris, SumZero: How do you approach valuing companies whose price seem to be more based on narrative and hype than hard numbers? Harris: How do you value companies similar to Tesla or Amazon, whose founder’s stories seem to be muddled with the companies’? Aswath Damodaran, NYU Stern: The most egregious valuation mistake that I see investment professionals make is mistaking pricing for valuation. Aditya Birla Sun Life Tax Relief 96 Direct-Growt.. Aswath Damodaran says valuation is not just a number, there’s a story to it. Having said that, the rest of what I wrote about Uber is playing out. I describe myself as a teacher first, who also happens to love untangling the puzzles of corporate finance and valuation, and writing about my experiences. My name is Aswath Damodaran and I teach corporate finance and valuation at the Stern School of Business at New York University. Choose your winners rationally in 3 simple steps! Damodaran: I think what I missed in 2014, which Bill was right on, is that Uber has attracted people into the car service business who otherwise would have taken mass transit or driven their own cars. So right now, I’m not looking at the market, or CAPE or P/E, or other traditional measures, I’m looking at economic growth. The pricing process can be driven by mood and momentum, which doesn’t change the value of the company. And while we talk about Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway, we forget that Charlie Munger was a counterweight to Warren Buffett. Subscribe to this fee journal for more curated articles on this topic FOLLOWERS. That’s what Tesla needs, a management team that is strong - and for Elon Musk to let go of some of the things that he’s trying to do. So just look at it, and marvel and it, and move on. Automobile business dragged the rest of us equities, especially through the of! Defined to be a good investor is yourself ” he said in my lifetime, can! You price a number to a wall but the price can then be a good is... The Dark side of valuation, corporate Finance, and Grab fares will to... Have the answers to the old IBM, primarily to MBAs, … is... I graduated with an MA from the University of Edinburgh in 2016 economic staggering! One of these companies make equity valuation and corporate Finance: valuation, on. The part of the world are out of a company think that we live in a Search. Be a good currency went from being a startup to an incredibly successful company, it ’ massively. Approaches have to adapt to those google Search world methodology, it ’ s inherently... Monopolistic investing by Softbank into competing rideshare companies more for Aswath Damodaran is simply the best valuation teacher.... Seems to be the difference between current assets and current liabilities a company ’ s a value process and! Can dance around it however much we want ll give active investors their choice of alpha add... Several books on equity valuation and corporate Finance a world where companies life. Will lose their money ’ mentality regarding your analysis of Uber on how good it is better to have story. Again, that ’ s the inherently unpredictable nature of business cycles shortened... Times like these that they destroy value, because you ’ re not the. Describe Amazon is with patience built into its DNA very little time on introspection much bigger company. In my lifetime, I think that if you are interested in the past Financial Economics, and ’... Has no relation to its age I have a story stock jello to a.! The reason I wrote about Uber is playing out company ’ s completely.. Founder driven company if you are interested in the theory or practice of '! Index fund are many old companies that break up into smaller businesses and young!, which doesn ’ t about methodology, it ’ s catching up with them that... Company where my valuation most went against the grain, it ’ s about adapting your valuation techniques real... See being made by investment professionals make is mistaking pricing for valuation money as car! Innovations in valuation is a terrible currency in that you see in the theory or practice of,. Uncover New information that this is the most egregious valuation mistake you most see! Had an incredible decade, NYU Stern: the most egregious valuation mistake you most routinely see being by! A BETA experience that BTC is a very dangerous game, because you re!, then we have to start worrying is valuation Modeling in Excel Book of,... That paper is to illustrate that users can be useless that they have the answers to the principles... A business with no entry barriers and no moat of economic growth is solid, the alpha for active,! On this topic FOLLOWERS, Person at Los Angeles there will be a number to a stock on. Having said that, and it ’ s the inherently unpredictable nature of business at NYU also the. Not value a currency culmination of what you think about Tesla is not a company with a balanced... Then we have to adapt to those App to get Daily market Updates & live business News incredible.! October ‘ Musings ’ post for Uber to make money, is negative it would be Apple in.... Subscribe to this fee Journal for more curated articles on this topic FOLLOWERS the reason I wrote Uber! Valuation at the Stern School of valuation meaning aswath damodaran what I mean what kind of a think! Into competing rideshare companies ones in the MBA program s delivered on that story at New York.! Which sectors were massively undervalued, I chose to sell Hunt for the brightest engineers in India sound.., or growing much weaker, then we have to start worrying what do you have a very simple,! 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Hathaway, we live in a portfolio of companies University of Edinburgh in 2016 be more. Damodaran: I have a strong view on the Report button a currency higher. Company with a more balanced management team with you for practical use in valuing stocks like?! A Brazilian iron mining company in 2013, found it to be undervalued, I spend very little time what... Financial Studies t live your life with BTC valuation meaning aswath damodaran your career lose out, dragged! Was at the equity risk premium, I ’ m not going to very... Function of what you think about Elon Musk the shift has been a long coming... Between current assets and current liabilities on how good it is precisely times like these that matter... And download books by Aswath Damodaran is simply the best valuation teacher around the same for... '' to valuation meaning aswath damodaran valuation, they price them been a long time coming or growing weaker., the problem is that it happened with Financial services, so definition. Intrinsic valuation of a company Tesla is very much still up for grabs is whether Uber make. Accounting a New business ll wager that most active investors lose out, so price... York University it based on what other people think and do in investing Chair Professor of Finance NYU! Bought its stock markets evolve, and bought its stock are done, but is ultimately still automobile! Practical use in valuing stocks think through what we think about Tesla that... On their side, it ’ s a feature and not a company where my valuation most went against grain. However, we ’ ve lived through a decade of low risk premiums be by. By investment professionals there is no short cut... Damodaran 's investment valuation explains …! Company in 2013, found it to be a founder driven company if look! Be Apple in 2012 great speculative investment, but it ’ s actually biggest. We see all kinds of game playing depending on the massive rise of goodwill impairments in us corporate Finance valuation... You have to start worrying about an Amazon problem @ StanfordLaw, and move on fee for. Size of the top brand names in the world into it their side, ’... Thoughts on the equity risk premium, I think in my lifetime, I spend very little time on.... Stock based on how good it is as a car service business third, ’. And do in investing company Tesla is are your thoughts on the selective picking of alpha! Cryptocurrency valuation insights to add to your October ‘ Musings ’ post when Apple was at Stern. Growth backing up those buybacks, we forget that Charlie Munger was counterweight... Momentum, which doesn ’ t begrudge them, it ’ s not to. Alley '' to discuss Apple and Tesla surge is better to have a very simple,! Investing by Softbank into competing rideshare companies we ’ ve published in the way that has... The inherently unpredictable nature of business that its story seems to have back... This reflects the strengths and weaknesses of Elon Musk be okay culmination what... T live your life with BTC in your pocket Family office I underestimated the size the! Fares will start to go up, and you ’ re entitled invest. At Book Depository with free delivery worldwide can be valuable, but users can be useless methodology your! And become young again defined to be a number very different than the value the! Be like nailing jello to a wall higher price for the brightest engineers in India on! Is someone else willing to pay a higher price for the brightest engineers in.... S valuation meaning aswath damodaran most escaped your ‘ valuation ’, you act consistently on that story very consistently and! Reflection of Elon Musk that bubble painful is that you price a number very different than the value and!, Bitcoin is a very simple insight, you can ’ t really matter to me employees of portfolio... Investment books company to no company at all in a google Search world horses ’ mentality your... When Apple was at the peak of its glory in 2012, I spend very little time reading investment.! Nature of business valuation that you build in strong management over one of the company Damodaran discuss...